WN 4924 · BNA → GSP

departs 4:23 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM ET

Your aircraft is N555LV (B737), coming in as WN 126 from TUL: in the air, landing about 3:40 PM CT, 35 min before departure.

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4924 · BNA → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?