Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4960
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 4960 · SJU → MCO
departs 3:40 PM AT · arrives 6:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.