WN 4996 · ONT → BNA

departs 8:36 AM PT · arrives 2:31 PM CT

Your aircraft is N1801U (B38M), coming in as WN 3680 from LAS: landed 7:22 AM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4996 · ONT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?