WN 738 · SMF → ONT

took off 6:32 AM PT · landed 7:31 AM PT (scheduled 6:22 AM PT → 7:50 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ONT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SMF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · SMF → ONT

Odds over time

How late did it get to ONT?