WN 742 · TPA → SJU

took off 5:54 PM ET · landed 8:25 PM AT (scheduled 5:30 PM ET → 8:29 PM AT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 742 · TPA → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?