Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 783 · PUJ → MCO
departs 1:30 PM AST · arrives 4:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PUJ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.