WN 826 · MDW → BUF

departs 7:54 AM CT · arrives 10:26 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 826 · MDW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?