Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 8506
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 8506 · FLL → MCO
departs 10:32 PM ET · arrives 11:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.28 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.