Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1023
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1023 · LAX → YYC
departs 1:20 PM PT · arrives 5:27 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.