Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1024
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1024 · YYC → LAX
departs 2:46 PM MDT · arrives 5:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.