Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1037
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
WS 1037 · MCO → YYZ
departs 5:19 PM ET · arrives 8:17 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±9 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at YYZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YYZ?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
YYZ (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.