Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1093 · LAS → YYC
departs 6:19 PM PT · arrives 10:12 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.