Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1160
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1160 · YYC → PHX
departs 10:01 AM MDT · arrives 12:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.