Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1161
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1161 · PHX → YYC
departs 8:11 AM MT · arrives 12:15 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
YYC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.