Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1410 · YYC → MCO
departs 9:01 AM MDT · arrives 4:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±10 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
9am departures from YYC are usually not late
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.