Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1475 · LAS → YEG
departs 4:45 PM PT · arrives 8:55 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at YEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to YEG?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 3.3 in of snow forecast at YEG that day
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YEG (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.