WS 1482 · YYC → SAN

departs 11:11 AM MDT · arrives 1:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YYC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1482 · YYC → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?