WS 1631 · FLL → YYC

departs 1:36 PM ET · arrives 5:18 PM MDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YYC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,329 ft Visibility7.71429 mi Precip0.19 in

YYC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1631 · FLL → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?