Y4 1861 · ONT → GDL

departs 12:50 AM PT · arrives 4:59 AM CST

Your aircraft is XAVUJ (A21N).

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GDL more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +88 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GDL?

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
92%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↑ 12am departures from ONT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GDL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 1861 · ONT → GDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to GDL?