Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 4012SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YV 4012 · IAD → LGA
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 1:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±2 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.