YV 6321 · IAD → SAV

departs 8:56 AM ET · arrives 10:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at IAD that day

↑ YV's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAV

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6321 · IAD → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?