YX 3415 · ROC → EWR

departs 2:26 PM ET · arrives 3:57 PM ET

Your aircraft is N723YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3492 from ORD: landed 1:04 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROC

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3415 · ROC → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?