YX 3516 · IAD → CMH

left the gate 1:03 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 12:55 PM ET → 2:39 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N758YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3590 from YUL: landed 11:04 AM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAD that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3516 · IAD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?