YX 3559 · EWR → STL

departs 2:19 PM ET · arrives 4:05 PM CT

Your aircraft is N731YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3715 from BUF: landed 11:47 AM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ STL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3559 · EWR → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?