YX 3587 · CMH → EWR

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 8:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3587 · CMH → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?