YX 3607 · IAD → BTV

departs 12:14 PM ET · arrives 2:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAD is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAD that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BTV

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3607 · IAD → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?