YX 3656 · IAD → MCI

departs 12:32 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM CT

Your aircraft is N743YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3436 from DTW: landed 11:21 AM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAD that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3656 · IAD → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?