Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3662
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
YX 3662 · ORD → PWM
departs 3:02 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at PWM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PWM?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PWM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.