YX 4414 · DTW → LGA

departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 9:29 PM ET

Your aircraft is N110HQ (E75S), coming in as YX 4414 from LGA: in the air, landing about 6:39 PM ET, 42 min before departure.

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4414 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?