Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4438
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:51 PM EDT (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today
YX 4438 · YYZ → LGA
departs 7:21 PM EDT · arrives 9:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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How late will it get to LGA?
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On time or early
87%
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15–30 min late
1%
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30 min–1 hour late
5%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.