YX 4533 · CMH → BOS

departs 4:56 PM ET · arrives 7:09 PM ET

Your aircraft is N429YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4692 from BOS: landed 3:23 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4533 · CMH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?