YX 4607 · ATL → LGA

departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET

Your aircraft is N654RW (E170), coming in as YX 4607 from LGA: landed 3:42 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4607 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?