YX 5634 · DTW → CMH

departs 10:50 PM ET · arrives 11:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

CMH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5634 · DTW → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?