YX 5665 · BOS → RIC

departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 5:38 PM ET

Your aircraft is N225JQ (E75S), coming in as YX 5836 from ORF: landed 1:20 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5665 · BOS → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?