YX 5726 · BOS → LGA

departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM ET

Your aircraft is N235JQ (E75S), coming in as YX 5597 from JAX: landed 2:51 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5726 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?