Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 9986
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
YX 9986 · SLN → CMH
departs 1:52 PM CT · arrives 5:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SLN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at SLN that day
↑
Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
SLN (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.