Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4677 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

9E 4677 · DTW → MDW

departs 5:32 PM ET · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MDW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4677 · DTW → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?