Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4941 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

9E 4941 · CHS → DTW

departs 1:06 PM ET · arrives 3:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from CHS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4941 · CHS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?