Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5386 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

9E 5386 · DTW → HSV

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HSV at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

HSV (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5386 · DTW → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?