Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5498 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

9E 5498 · PIT → DTW

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5498 · PIT → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?