Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 7926 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 29 Today

9K 7926 · STT → SKB

departs 3:40 PM AST · arrives 4:42 PM AST

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SKB more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STT

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into SKB at that hour are usually not late

↓ SKB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STT (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SKB (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 7926 · STT → SKB

Odds over time