Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 543
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 543 · MKK → HNL
departs 8:41 AM HT · arrives 9:41 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.33333 mi forecast at MKK that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late
↓
8am departures from MKK are usually not late
Weather at each end
MKK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.33333 mi Precip 0.16 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.