Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 645
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 645 · LNY → HNL
departs 5:42 PM HT · arrives 6:05 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 10/28 41%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LNY that day
↑
Other factors
↓
9X's recent on-time record
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.23 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.