AA 1199 · DFW → BNA

took off 7:26 PM CT · landed 8:47 PM CT (scheduled 4:46 PM CT → 6:53 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

BNA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1199 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?