Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 124 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

AA 124 · DFW → LAX

departs 2:18 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 124 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?