Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1360 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AA 1360 · LAX → CMH

departs 10:50 AM PT · arrives 6:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1360 · LAX → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?