tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1613 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1613 · LAS → PHX

departs 1:41 PM PT · arrives 3:06 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.