Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1664 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

AA 1664 · DSM → DFW

departs 4:19 PM CT · arrives 6:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1664 · DSM → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?