Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2125 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AA 2125 · DFW → LAX

departs 5:54 PM CT · arrives 7:18 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2125 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?