Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2226SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2226 · PHX → SAN
departs 7:47 AM MT · arrives 9:12 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.